Firefly Aerospace stock closed on Friday, November 6, 2026 with a 36.8% gain at $20.76, holding above key daily averages but facing overbought hourly readings and conflicting 15-minute momentum. The stock opened at $17.11, traded between a low of $16.31 and a high of $20.88, and closed at $20.76, against a previous close of $15.18. A cautiously bullish daily bias is in place, yet the chart does not show a fully aligned uptrend.
FLY — daily chart with candlesticks, EMA20/EMA50 and volume.
Key takeaways
FLY closed at $20.76 on Friday, a 36.8% gain, with session volume of 13,323,700 shares.
The daily close is above the 20-session EMA at $18.50 and the 50-session EMA at $20.25 , but below the 200-session EMA at $25.38 .
Daily RSI14 rose to 55.98 from 33.71, moving above the neutral 50 threshold and remaining below overbought territory.
The daily MACD histogram turned positive at 0.18 from -0.12; the MACD line at -0.78 is above its signal at -0.95, though both remain below zero.
Hourly RSI14 stands at 72.41 in overbought territory; 15-minute RSI14 is overbought at 77.81 with a negative MACD histogram at -0.04.
Firefly Aerospace stock: constructive daily momentum, incomplete trend alignment
The daily close is above the 20-session EMA at $18.50 and the 50-session EMA at $20.25. However, the 20-session average remains below the 50-session average, while the 200-session EMA stands overhead at $25.38. That arrangement supports a constructive price position without establishing a fully bullish trend structure.
Daily RSI and MACD readings
Daily RSI14 rose to 55.98 from 33.71, placing it above the neutral 50 threshold and below overbought territory. Meanwhile, the daily MACD histogram turned positive at 0.18 from -0.12. The MACD line at -0.78 is above its signal at -0.95, although both remain below zero. These readings support the bullish bias, but the negative MACD line qualifies that strength.
Bollinger bands and volatility context
The close also stands above the daily upper Bollinger band at $20.73, with the mid-band at $17.89. This places price outside the upper boundary rather than within the band envelope. At the same time, daily ATR14 increased to 1.83 from 1.53, indicating a larger measured price range.
Engine agreement supplies the news backdrop
A report published before Friday’s open, cited by Investing.com, said Firefly announced a three-year rocket-engine agreement worth more than $1.3 billion with AST SpaceMobile. The agreement is a concrete news development, but it does not remove the chart’s conflicting trend and timing signals.
Hourly strength meets a mixed execution picture
On the hourly chart, the daily close sits above the 20-hour EMA at $18.04, the 50-hour EMA at $17.80 and the 200-hour EMA at $19.17. However, the 200-hour average remains above both shorter averages, so the full ordering is not bullish. Hourly RSI14 stands at 72.41, in overbought territory. The MACD line at 0.78 is above its signal at 0.16, with a positive histogram of 0.62. Hourly momentum therefore supports the daily bias, while RSI flags an overbought condition.
15-minute chart presents a timing conflict
In contrast, the 15-minute chart presents a timing conflict rather than a separate daily thesis. Price is above the 20-quarter-hour EMA at $19.70, the 50-quarter-hour EMA at $18.34 and the 200-quarter-hour EMA at $17.86. Those averages are bullishly aligned with price. Yet RSI14 is overbought at 77.81, and the MACD line at 0.93 sits below its signal at 0.97. The histogram declined to -0.04 from -0.03, leaving short-term MACD confirmation absent despite the bullish average structure.
Levels and conditional scenarios for the next session
When trading resumes, the daily pivot sits at $19.32, with first resistance at $22.32 and first support at $17.75. The hourly pivot for the next session is $20.73, with first resistance at $20.90 and first support at $20.58. On the 15-minute chart, the next-session pivot is $20.76, with first resistance at $20.88 and first support at $20.63. The latest daily close is above the hourly pivot and equal to the 15-minute pivot.
Bullish scenario
The bullish scenario requires support at the daily 50-session EMA at $20.25. A break above the session high and 15-minute first resistance at $20.88 would provide initial confirmation. Clearing hourly first resistance at $20.90 would strengthen that case, with daily first resistance at $22.32 the higher reference. A positive 15-minute MACD histogram would also remove the current execution-level conflict.
Bearish scenario
Conversely, a break below the daily 50-session EMA at $20.25 would weaken the bullish case. A subsequent loss of the next-session daily pivot at $19.32 would invalidate its near-term support premise. The daily 20-session EMA at $18.50 and daily first support at $17.75 would then become the lower reference levels.
Overall, Firefly Aerospace stock stands above key shorter daily averages but below the 200-session EMA at $25.38. Daily ATR14 at 1.83 keeps volatility central to the assessment. The unresolved question is whether price can hold daily support and clear nearby resistance despite overbought intraday RSI and negative 15-minute MACD confirmation.
FAQ
What is the current trend structure for Firefly Aerospace stock?
The daily close is above the 20-session EMA at $18.50 and the 50-session EMA at $20.25, but the 20-session average remains below the 50-session average. Additionally, price is below the 200-session EMA at $25.38. This creates a constructive but not fully bullish trend structure.
What are the key resistance levels to watch?
The 15-minute first resistance at $20.88 and hourly first resistance at $20.90 are the nearest levels. Above those, daily first resistance sits at $22.32. The 200-session EMA at $25.38 represents a higher structural resistance.
What are the key support levels for FLY?
The daily 50-session EMA at $20.25 is a support level. Below that, the daily pivot at $19.32, the daily 20-session EMA at $18.50, and daily first support at $17.75 serve as lower reference levels.
What do the intraday momentum readings show?
Hourly RSI14 is at 72.41 in overbought territory, while 15-minute RSI14 is overbought at 77.81. The 15-minute MACD histogram is negative at -0.04, with the MACD line at 0.93 below its signal at 0.97, creating a timing conflict despite bullish average alignment on the 15-minute chart.
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